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FOREX-Euro pinned near 2-year lows Don't bet your shorts!

#1 User is offline   wulfgar 

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Posted 31 May 2012 - 12:32 AM

http://www.reuters.c...E8GT50F20120529

Quote

FOREX-Euro pinned near 2-year lows as Spanish angst deepens
Tue May 29, 2012 7:11am EDT

* Euro stays near last week's low just below $1.25

* Spanish banking problems overtake worries about Greece

* Doubts grow whether Spain can support ailing banks on its own

By Jessica Mortimer

LONDON, May 29 (Reuters) - The euro slipped against the dollar on Tuesday, edging closer to two years lows as investors and speculators sold the common currency on persistent worries over Spain's escalating borrowing costs and its weakening banking sector.

Analysts and traders said the euro could weaken to fresh lows in the near term given the extent of the concerns surrounding the euro zone debt crisis and the risk of contagion.

Worries about the cost of shoring up Spain's banking system kept Spanish debt yields elevated while the gap between them and German 10-year yields remained near euro era highs, as the risk grew that Spain may be forced to seek an international bailout.

The euro traded at $1.2530, off a day high of $1.2575 as demand from corporates and Middle East names faded.


(Date Posted:05/31/2012 10:22 AM)


When are we going to see PAR ???



1stweeek 2009...........886577 / 763682 = 1.16

Today........................1105938 / 879746 = 1.25




The first figure is FRN's in millions. The second figure is Euro's in millions.




As you can see at the beginning of 2009 there was 1.16 worth of FRN for every Euro. Today it is 1.25.




Parity has a snowballs chance in hell.




Don't bet your shorts!




Posted Image
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#2 User is offline   Bernard L. Madoff 

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Posted 03 June 2012 - 04:03 AM

View Postwulfgar, on 31 May 2012 - 12:32 AM, said:

http://www.reuters.c...E8GT50F20120529


(Date Posted:05/31/2012 10:22 AM)


When are we going to see PAR ???



1stweeek 2009...........886577 / 763682 = 1.16

Today........................1105938 / 879746 = 1.25




The first figure is FRN's in millions. The second figure is Euro's in millions.




As you can see at the beginning of 2009 there was 1.16 worth of FRN for every Euro. Today it is 1.25.




Parity has a snowballs chance in hell.




Don't bet your shorts!




Posted Image


Obviously not with QE3 imminent - the only thing that will save the failed currency from parity. I'd quote your previous cheer leading on its strength at over 1.32 but I can't be @rsed. We need a "got waffle" thread.
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#3 User is offline   wulfgar 

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Posted 03 June 2012 - 05:37 AM

View PostBernard L. Madoff, on 03 June 2012 - 04:03 AM, said:

Obviously not with QE3 imminent - the only thing that will save the failed currency from parity. I'd quote your previous cheer leading on its strength at over 1.32 but I can't be @rsed. We need a "got waffle" thread.


There are many factors that determine the domestic and international value of a currency, but here I'm pointing to a fundamental one........the ECB just ain't printing like the FED. Hence the Euro remains relatively scarcer than the USD relative to a few years back.
For the USD to win the currency war, it must push the Euro down to parity.
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