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The Claw's Profile User Rating: -----

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Australian property (727 posts)
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User is offline Dec 15 2011 03:40 AM
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Virtuoso
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  1. In Topic: Shortage-deniers read this

    15 December 2011 - 03:40 AM

    You are all a bunch of time-wasting clowns.

    I posted a very good article which covers much more than just housing and nobody comments on the article. You just want to stir me and make fun of me.

  2. In Topic: Shortage-deniers read this

    15 December 2011 - 01:39 AM

    View Posttor, on 15 December 2011 - 01:07 AM, said:

    So we are back to "I have an idea which cannot ever be proved using data"

    Which makes it irrelevant as far as I am concerned. If it can't be proved then it can't be disproved and it becomes a religion. I am not religious.


    Good. Then do us all a favour and stop contradicting me I post about the shortage. You cannot disprove what I post, so stop trying.

    Ordinary people in Australia don't care about what you think. Many care about the future of their children and about their ability to afford decent housing. I care about this. I explain the cause of the problem. I explain the solution. I will continue to post for the benefit of these ordinary people.

  3. In Topic: Shortage-deniers read this

    15 December 2011 - 12:35 AM

    View Posttor, on 14 December 2011 - 11:28 PM, said:

    If your thesis was correct then the number of people leaving Sydney would have a very strong correlation to the shortage you believe in, correct?


    Strictly speaking no. You have made a statistical blunder.

    Shortage does indeed cause people to leave but there are other factors that can also do this.

    For example in 1970 it was very unusual for a young person to have a stint of work overseas. It was difficult to arrange, expensive to travel, and basically not the done thing. Now that has all changed.

    What you will find is that areas with no shortage will have cheap housing but people will still move away FOR OTHER REASONS. These people could be asked the reasons, and might tell you.
    In areas with shortage housing will be expensive and people will move away for other reasons AND DUE TO EXPENSIVE HOUSING. These people could be asked the reasons, and might tell you. Perhaps you could commission a survey. The data might convince you of the truth where I have failed.

  4. In Topic: Shortage-deniers read this

    14 December 2011 - 10:50 PM

    View Posttor, on 14 December 2011 - 06:24 PM, said:

    There is a shortage because people are forced out by the shortage?

    heh.

    Facts:
    There are more people in Sydney now than ever before in history.
    We have more houses per person than there were previously.
    You have said there was not a shortage in the 60's and 70's.
    You have said there is a shortage now.

    Logic:
    For all four statements to be true Houses per person cannot be part of your definition of shortage.

    Supposition:
    Many people would disagree with you.

    Observation:
    Many people disagree with you.


    I'm sure that you could nit-pick many things that I post.

    However my understanding of the problem is that poorer Sydney-born people are being forced-out by a flood of rich immigrants. They suffer A SHORTAGE as a result of the immigrants.

    This would not bother me so much if Sydney was the only place in Australia suffering shortage. However analysis of the situation shows that shortage is widespread. Choking and poking. Plenty of evidence.

    link

    Read the link. An influx of miners combined with unresponsive supply from govt results in A SHORTAGE which affects poorer locals from the towns. Yes morons, there is a shortage as a result of more people coming in. One rich miner can displace a poor family of five. Yes morons, a shortage can exist while there are more houses per people than before.

  5. In Topic: Shortage-deniers read this

    14 December 2011 - 12:01 PM

    View Postummester, on 14 December 2011 - 06:33 AM, said:

    Hey Claw - a very simple question that I have never asked you. Do you have any vested interest in property values not correcting?

    Nah. I want prices to fall (like Spain, Ireland etc)

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